Saturday, January 21, 2012
Bad facts make bad law-case of retrospective tax law and anti tax evasionary measures
But what relevance to this post? Read the prebudget memorandums of industry associations/professional associations, and one thing often stands out-the plaint against retrospective tax amendments nullifying hard won court rulings, and also measures against tax evasion, that impose procedural burden and excessive withholding taxes. While one can sympathize with the affected parties, the fact remains that it is precisely the egregious conduct of the taxpayers/professionals, that leads to stringent law. The Statement of revenue foregone(presented annually in the Union Budget) proves conclusively that larger firms(as measured by pretax income) pay lower rates of tax. Whether this is the base effect or just effective tax planning is not clear, but one inference that can be drawn is that larger tax payers have the resources to engage the best hired guns to 'optimize' their tax liability, take aggressive tax positions, benefit from every loophole etc. And with the Supreme Court sanctioned tax planning(a position sought to to reversed in the proposed Direct Tax Code 2011), corporates can go about this with aplomb, and can even escape penalties as their issue is inevitably admitted by tribunals(which itself implies that IS debatable, thus no penalty under 271(1)(c)).
So what does the revenue do? While they DO expose the draft tax law to comments at times, professionals do not have an incentive to report loopholes for plugging at that stage, rather they would want to benefit from the new business importunity therein of helping their clients. So when unintended tax benefits are taken, retrospective amendments are the only way out, especially for artful structuring and all. And while tax evasion measures may punish law abiding tax payers, the fact remains that left to their own devices, tax payers will have the incentive to bend the law just a tiny bit(especially given the new limits for tax effect below which appeal will NOT be filed by Revenue in administrative/civil forums). Expecting taxpayers to be law abiding by choice AND having a self assessment regime, implies that penalties must be stringent to ensure compliance.
While this may not be the most optimal economic outcome in terms of compliance costs, such measures are necessary in an environment where taxbase is already very low. Else, we may end up in Greece like scenario where the number of luxury car owners far exceeds the relevant tax base!
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Hippocratic oath or Hypocratic oath-where has medical ethics died
I swear to fulfill, to the best of my ability and judgment, this covenant:
- I will respect the hard-won scientific gains of those physicians in whose steps I walk, and gladly share such knowledge as is mine with those who are to follow. Doctors do teach and avoid plagiarism(atleast not much more than other professionals). So there, they escape censure.But seeing the very small number of multi doctor practices in India(as compared to USA), it is doubtful whether doctors care about sharing knowledge with non relatives. Also, while continuing professional education is implicit in this, it is an open question about how many doctors rely on industry funded seminars/sales representatives to educate them, rather than take the pain to subscribe to and read authoritative journals/attend study circles etc.
- I will apply, for the benefit of the sick, all measures [that] are required, avoiding those twin traps of overtreatment and therapeutic nihilism. Afraid of being sued and mindful of the revenue generation obligation, doctors tend to prescribe unnecessary tests. Also, simple remedies like those of homeopathy are not advised-either the doctor does not know them, or prefer allopathy. While the doctor has the right to his professional judgement to reject alternative medicine, the patient should have an informed choice to that extent. And that is what is often missing today.
- I will remember that there is art to medicine as well as science, and that warmth, sympathy, and understanding may outweigh the surgeon's knife or the chemist's drug. In the corporate approach of quick turnaround times, cold clinical approach and preferring standardized jargon/self education, this is easy to forget. And for those not so literate/tech savvy/assertive, the chance of being misdiagnosed/not receiving optimal treatment is there. Not all hospitals are as sensitive like say Sankara Netralaya, which despite being in the South, set up a Bengali speaking reception counter catering to its patients from that region. Doctors IMO prefer jargon to explaining in Plain English to the patient/those accompanying him.
- I will not be ashamed to say "I know not," nor will I fail to call in my colleagues when the skills of another are needed for a patient's recovery. While second opinions and referrals are taken, I doubt whether this is done on a old-friends basis, or purely on the basis of competence.
- I will respect the privacy of my patients, for their problems are not disclosed to me that the world may know. Most especially must I tread with care in matters of life and death. If it is given me to save a life, all thanks. But it may also be within my power to take a life; this awesome responsibility must be faced with great humbleness and awareness of my own frailty. Above all, I must not play at God. Abroad, the topic of doctor assisted enthusania is still being debated, but undoubtedly it is against the classical version of the oath.
- I will remember that I do not treat a fever chart, a cancerous growth, but a sick human being, whose illness may affect the person's family and economic stability. My responsibility includes these related problems, if I am to care adequately for the sick. This is the closest that the oath gets to advising the holistic approach embedded in Eastern medicine approaches like homeopathy. However, I'm yet to see allopathic doctors follow that approach in practice..
- I will prevent disease whenever I can, for prevention is preferable to cure. The family doctors(conversant with their patients and their family history) are likelier to do this. But for corporate hospitals/others, while they do have the data, they are likelier to use it for cross selling insurance/other services like checkup than use it for diagnostic purposes.
- I will remember that I remain a member of society, with special obligations to all my fellow human beings, those sound of mind and body as well as the infirm. This is violated to the greatest extent in my opinion. Hospitals are reluctant to admit accident victims, render probono services etc. While this behaviour is rationally understandable in a supply constrained situation like India, shirking one's obligation of public service, undermines the right to be called a professional. And for practices like not reserving the agreed proportion of hospital beds/services for the poor, there is no excuse.
Monday, January 16, 2012
Prebudget memorandums sometimes blatantly demand the moon-the case of ICSI Budget 2012
While reading the ICSI's prebudget memorandum(http://www.icsi.edu/WebModules/LinksOfWeeks/Pre-Budget1_Memorandum.pdf), I did see some novel points like giving weighted deduction to CSR expenditure(naturally certified by a company secretary!), but otherwise many points bordered on the absurd, or had very narrow outlook/ill reasoned. Some examples are given below
- Abolishing MAT on LLPs;-The logic is that The Finance Act, 2011 introduced Alternate Minimum Tax on Limited Liability Partnerships which challenges the main advantage of formation of LLP over the companies. But, LLPs have sound business reasons like that of limited liability and large size, for which MAT seems a fair bargain.
- Deducting of STT under Capital Gains head:- Suggestion is that The STT paid may be allowed as deduction by including it in the cost of acquisition and selling expenses under the Capital Gains. It will help in strengthen the capital market. However, it overlooks the fact that concessional capital gains treatment was possibly partly due to the additional revenue given from STT. Giving away some of this tax benefit without commensurate revenue benefits, does not make sense at all from revenue perspective.
Saturday, December 31, 2011
Virtual water-the case against exporting/producing water intensive crops.
With the water wars heating up in Southern States of India(as witness the Kerala-Tamil Nadu war of words over the safety of the ancient Mullaperiyar dam) and Africa(where the 4 upstream nations of the Nile have reached an agreement increasing their share without the 'ratification' of the downstream nations like Egypt), water politics are attaining a zenith. Even the reputed Indian Infrastructure Report 2011-published by IDFC and coordinated by IIT/IIM-focuses on the issue of water scarcity, and its implications for development and growth in years to come. Given that this publication is not prone to exaggeration, and has been often ahead of its time on issues like urbanization, contract structuring etc, its views should be taken with respect.
I stumbled across a dissetation by Suvi Sojamo, titled Merchants of Virtual Water – The ”ABCD” of
Agribusiness TNCs and Global Water Security, prepared for Msc(water science) at King's College. Read it here http://www.kcl.ac.uk/sspp/departments/geography/study/masters/dissertationsojamo.pdf.
The paper argues that major global agribusiness players(ABCD of agriculture) are major global water managers due to their remarkable shares of international virtual water 'flows' embedded in agricultural commodities. The entire report makes for interesting reading, but the takeaway I got was that crops like corn, soyabean, wheat(and in Indian context, rice/sugarcane/cotton) may have high margins but a better public policy measure would be contribution/profits per unit of water used. And thanks to the underpriced water in India, the apparent profits would be high for those crops as the social cost of water is not factored completely.
At the very least, this issue needs study in India while fixing MSPs of crops, designing export incentives for primary produce etc. Otherwise, we risk spending heavily to fix the water scarcity issue, while spending elsewhere on encouraging production/export of those very crops which aggravate the issue.
Saturday, December 17, 2011
Learn proper English and do due diligence before transacting online
- Send money before getting the appointment letter
- Multi level marketing
- Nigerian lottery scams
- Online shopping sites of dubious repute
- Time sharing at holiday resorts
Of course, getting conned happens even to those who speak impeccable English and who should have known better(for example even a bank manager(!) got conned in the Nigerian lottery scam). But a majority of those who helplessly seek advice from strangers are of the type I mentioned. Unfortunately, good written English and persistence is needed to navigate the consumer care labyrinth of most companies. Having extracted refunds after multiple attempts, from Airtel, Uninor, Dell, HDFC and ICICI, I can vouch for this with abundant experience. So if people expect that the invisible hand of the market will protect them who only transact blindly, then they are in for trouble.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
US type IPR framework for India-absurd and utopian
- IPR protection not embedded in Constitution:-Patent Protection is a constitutional right in USA, while the Indian Constitution does not even guarantee right to property!
- Traditional Knowledge and Different culture:The traditional Western model of IP does not sufficiently protect traditional knowledge, and presumes that people need only a monetary incentive to invent. Prof Anil Gupta's work at the National Innovation Foundation, proves that that is not the case.
- We are still net importers.:-India does import IP whether it be directly(royalty payments by Maruti to Suzuki for example) or indirectly(mobile manufacturers paying Qualcomm etc ). And of software, I'm hardpressed to name a single Indian produced software
- And countries grew rich by not paying for IP:-Be it USA(for books), UK(for machinery), South Korea/China(for technologies), even countries topping the innovation charts have stolen their share of IPR. Is India in a position to pay for IP? In a land where good foreign published books can cost a week's average income, is it fair to penalize students for piracy?
- Our legal system would crack:-Intellectual property being a legal right, its ownership.validity can ultimately be decided only in court. And IPR being subject to fast erosion of value if subjudice, not having fast track courts/speedy justice does defeat the purpose. And it is a matter of public policy to decide whether IPR law should get priority over a host of other laws when it comes to justice enforcement. When not even TRIPS requires this, I doubt this will happen anytime soon in India. After all, setting up new fast track tribunals for law/tax cases has been hanging fire.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Why financial innovation IS necessary and useful
- Students's dream jobs are now in tech companies like Apple, Google and Facebook-which are all glorified despite significant concerns about privacy, impact by creatively destroying other industries..
- Occupy Wall Street(OWS) students ambushed recruiting sessions at Yale of Goldman Sachs/Bank of America and harangued them about how their rocket science had resulted in evil.
Recently, Mr Masaaki Shirakawa, Governor of the Bank of Japan gave a keynote address, at the
Netherlands Bank conference in honour of Mr Nout Wellink on “Welfare effects of financial
innovation” . He focused on the special aspects of financial innovation, and the speech can be read here(http://www.bis.org/review/r111115h.pdf). The main points he made were
- Innovation means changing the way business is conducted in order to better serve the clients
of the business.changes, which provide the same or better service to clients at lower cost, are certainly innovations in the usual sense of the word. - Innovation can be technology driven or modality driven. Technology-driven innovation
crystallizes when the application of technology results in a better way of doing business(like ATMs). On the other hand, modalitydriven innovation aims at rearranging business processes for the better(like derivatives risk transfer) - Technology-driven innovations are more likely to be beneficial, because, when the innovator is deliberating on the application of technology, the client cannot usually be ignored. On the other hand, in the case of modality-driven innovations, one can easily lose sight of the client when cutting and dicing existing businesses(emphasis added). Very often, modality-driven innovations are the result of efforts to circumvent regulations, taxes, and accounting rules imposed on the financial industry
- Problems seem to have arisen when a product or service is insufficiently anchored in inter-mediation or facilitation of payments(the core function of banks)
However, the financial inclusion agenda of regulators, would require banks to adopt technology driven innovations, while the infrastructure financing needs would probably need modality driven innovations to come up with innovative financial structures, eschrow mechanisms and build in adequate safeguards(like MIGA guarantee etc) so that the players would have rational incentives to keep up to their word. And more modality driven innovations would be needed for risk transfer. One can certainly argue that the basic bank and investment bank should be split, but that may make both individually riskier(no diversification) and increase capital costs.Hence, before trashing the rocket science/quants/legal eagles of banks, one should also think of their positive uses.
Thursday, December 8, 2011
The case for prosecuting Tamilnadu CM Jayalalitha for corrupt practice for her photo on free laptops
Now, some may call me naive, or may dispute the efficacy of the scheme's publicity because
- Every ruling party releases full page advertisements with the party leader's photos, dwarfing the scheme/project for which the advertisement is released for..
- The CM is an iconic figure in the state, so what difference would it make if her photo is there in one more place?
- The initial impact will fade away after sometime.
- People should be having sufficiently developed voting sense, not to vote for someone just because such a 'populist' scheme is made.
Section 13 of the Prevention of Corruption Act 1987 on criminal misconduct by public servants states that (1) A public servant is said to commit the offence of criminal misconduct,....- (d) if he,-..(ii) by abusing his position as a public servant, obtains for himself or for any other person any valuable thing or pecuniary advantage. Publicity and association of the government funded scheme to the personal offices of the CM via the photo, is certainly a valuable thing, if not monetary.
The hitch with the case is that only a police officer of ACP/above can take up the case, also the person competent to remove the CM(Governor) must give prior sanction, which would invite accusations of witchunt from the opposition, which is already on the warpath and remembers the use of Article 356 to unfairly dismiss earlier CMs. That is a pity, because such a test case would really deter politicians from blatantly benefitting from public funds for their own publicity. It is one thing to claim things in campaign material/rhetoric, and yet another to permanently emboss your image on state funded property.
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Time for India to derecognize/stop student loans for bad courses?
- Low proportion of employable, this is opening the route for 'finishing school' institutes like Purple Leap, NIIT and others.
- Enormous application/job ratio for 'safe' PSU jobs
- Very low level of English and critical discourse on public forums. For example, when someone posts a job with clear instructions to email the CV, some retards reply with comments under that asking the recruiter to consider their applications.
- High level of plagiarism and deterioration of writing skills, as students copy/outsource project reports and assignments.
In the present system, the false notion of education inclusion makes banks extend loans even to colleges they know are worthless, and to students for enrolling in those colleges. This has already lead to increasing education loan defaults, though not on the scale prevalent in USA. Maybe its time to do what China did(http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/11/23/china-to-cancel-college-majors-that-dont-pay/) and pull the plug on ineffective subjects. I recognize that these would include many arts/commerce courses besides engineering, and while I do not have an elitist bias or prejudice towards any stream, one should recognize that if this present situation continues, the education bubble may set into India as well/.
Sunday, November 27, 2011
Is ICAI really a partner in nation building or a conspiracy against the laity?
Adam Smith had termed trade unions/associations as a conspiracy against the laity(''people') as he felt that no good could emerge from a trade meeting behind closed doors. And centuries later, the existence of cartels, industry lobbies and the trade union behaviour has proved him write, in country after country. And this is true even for professional services associations like ICAI, where the information asymmetry and difficult to understand professional services, ensures that scrutiny is not much. Few people understand the issues, and fewer bother to raise them in public forums. Hence, under the guise of ensuring better quality services, they get away with practices like severely restrictive entry norms in licensing, widely drafted professional service standards to reduce liability etc-all in a view to maximize the welfare of its members.
Now, if the services(audit, certifications..) were achieving their purpose, then one could be content that the larger public interest in served. But even in the mainstay(statutory financial audit and tax audits) work where decades of experience and well drafted standard exist, the end user satisfaction is on the downtrend. Few investors trust the audited accounts anymore, and even the taxman is resorting to mass online surveilance systems etc to detect cases of tax evasion. And contrary to the Hippocratic oath of not doing any harm, scam exposes have repeatedly revealed the active help and commission by omission of CAs who have been middlemen for bribes, helped launder money abroad, suggested sharp practices in tax, not been critical enough etc.And with LLPs fast gaining traction, the corporatization of the profession will be complete with the 20partner/firm limit being dropped.
So what is the way out? Let the profession not claim to have public interest as primacy, as the hard reality is that it IS becoming a business. Spin off the regulatory function to a independent regulator, and have ICAI as the first line Self Regulatory body. This post seems a rant but I just had to get it away from my system! And unless pro-bono work is done like the BCAS Charitable Institutions Accounts and Audit clinic, the claim of working in the public interest should be viewed with skeptism.
Friday, November 18, 2011
Justifying ebook 'piracy' in the Indian context
Keeping aside the economics of it(digital goods have zero marginal cost, and therefore are not perceived as stolen 'goods' since the seller is not 'deprived' of anything. Ok, he could have realized the selling price, but the issue is whether that selling price is 'fair' or not ) and the morality(is this theft? Are we taking money from the pockets of the creators, retailers), it struck me that in this case, the David vs Goliath analogy was more apt. I(and doubtless many others) saw no shame in taking from a big anonymous entity out there(Microsoft, Harper Collins), even if we adored the creator(Bill Gates, JK Rowling etc). And then, IPR awareness is still not that prevalent in India.
Another interesting explanation is that Indians are inherently uncomfortable with knowledge for profit. Since ages, the knowledge in books was freely available to all. While the Brahmin community did try to hoard it by forbidding the education of certain 'lower' communities, that was more out of a genuine belief in the caste system than an effort to profit from their knowledge. In the modern day era, it reflects in the fact that traditional knowledge is often shared without expectation of profit(as experienced by Prof Anil Gupta during his work with the National Innovation Foundation); non vocational accredited education is largely still not legally allowed to be for-profit; and IPR filings for designs/GIs are quite low. And Tagore's famous poem also mentions 'Where knowledge is free'. Now, it is quite likely he meant it in the intellectual freedom sense and not in the financial sense; but they are quite simillar anyway.
So in such a culture(where knowledge is freely shared) and legal environment(poor awareness), one can almost understand ebook 'piracy'. But what about those who are well versed with the legal situation, and who still do it? For them, an argument could be Two wrongs make a right. Basically that since the 'West' robbed the East of traditional knowledge(using it for pharma patents), clinical trials data and other things, this is one way to hit back because the publishers are mostly from the Anglo-Saxon world. Another argument could be that there is no opportunity loss(since they would not have purchased it anyways). Another could be that the prices are too high.
Now, all these arguments could be refuted under the English common law principle of sanctity and freedom of contract. And under the present legal context, one cannot invoke public interest to suggest that ebook 'piracy' is akin to free compulsary licensing of ebooks to those who cannot afford them.
But legal arguments often fall on deaf ears.
Therefore, an interesting way to spur on copyright respect and awareness, is to invoke the Indian concept of karma(like the Chinese principle of joss). Both these concepts would imply that do unto others as you would have done to yourself. Even the most fervent open source advocates would not accept working full time like how many authors do, and then giving away their output for free. But for this concept to be accepted, it is necessary to have a C2C platform between the author and reader. Platforms like Amazon self publishing already permit such a thing, and it would be interesting whether the social media burst(and resultant author-reader interaction) would result in lesser ebook piracy. After all, people hesitate to 'rip off' friends or people whom they know.
Saturday, August 20, 2011
Organizations enforcing commercial laws((YouTube's triple strike ban policy)-is this fair?
Take for example YouTube. It does not actively encourage uploads of pirated content. But if copyright owners successfully report pirated content repeatedly, the offending user's account is subject to deletion. There are some safeguards here, that if the user contests the piracy claim, the copyright owner must sue in the courts of law. But given the legal expenses, individual users would mostly not have the will/resources to contest those suits, and may lose. One may argue that thievery cannot be condoned, and that Youtube is justified in ensuing that its users do not use its network to break the law
But taken to its logical conclusion, this argument is dangerous. No organization has clean hands, and some or the other offence/violation/ethical breach would have been committed. If a vigilante takes up those breaches in its hands and decides to mete out instant justice, where would those organizations be? Yet, such justice is conceptually no way different from organizations voluntarily enforcing other's IP. As a ISP like platform provider, Youtube's obligation is at best to delete the offending files. Deleting account access is an extreme step. Such issues will become more important when internet/Google are recognized as essential services.
Saturday, August 6, 2011
Deregulation cannot be done till market failure is removed.
Below are a few areas where 'reform' is often sought, but I propose to show that relaxing regulation would be a disaster, as the market is not mature enough to ensure good behaviour.
- Labour laws
- Corporate disclosures
- Corporate governance
- Environmental assessment
- Corporate pay-especially to promoters/their relatives
- Exercise of eminent domain for private land acquisition
- Coercive savings direction into infrastructure/favoured sector
- FDI caps/restriction on foreign competition
- Export bans/tax on raw materials(rice/wheat/onion/iron ore)
- Subsidized fuel/minerals/freight
Friday, July 22, 2011
Is it time to review additional responsibilites given to practising professionals?
But in their zeal to get assignments and execute them quickly, are professionals blindly signing forms? In a June-11 circular(http://www.mca.gov.in/Ministry/pdf/Notice_23jun2011.pdf), the Ministry of Company Affairs pointed the case of 11 companies(including a few listed companies like Raj TV) where a basic data field(number of shareholders) was given absurdly high/low numbers which besides being patently absurd violated even the statutory norms/previously filed returns. This reflects poorly on the preparer(company) but even more on the certifying professional, who receives his fees for verifying the return. There is no excuse for this lapse, because even a cursory sanity check would have revealed the absurdity of this.
With responsibility comes accountability. If professionals do not show themselves to be worthy of this trust, then their license to practise should be suspended. Alternately, we should bar such professionals from practise for say 1 month, to set an example for others. After all, the need of professionals was precisely to prevent such garbage values, but now this is happening.
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Anti Naxalite militia Salwa Judum-a case of police outsourcing gone too far?
This month(July 2011), the apex Indian legal court(Supreme Court) declared unconstitutional, the tribal militia armed and financed by the State of Chhatisgarh. For some background, note that the Maoist Naxal violence earlier confined to the mineral rich belts of Orissa, Chhatisgarh, Jharkhand etc is now spreading to all deprived areas including Maharashtra, AP etc. An estimate is that 100+ Indian districts are now under the Naxal sway. Besides issues of internal security, this also holds up 'development' projects-both by Government and private sector. The conventional police means have not worked, so the State Governments are trying all means like amnesty schemes, arrests of supporters and special tribal compsoed state sponsored(Indian government often funded upto 80%) militas like the Swala Judum/Koya Commandoes. It is this last one which was under appeal.
The press and 'Civil Society' activists have largely opposed it on ideological grounds-that the State cannot arm tribals, that they are used as cannon fodder etc. These grounds may be valid, but they are policy choices which even courts cannot question. What was questioned(and grounds for holding the militia unconstitutional) was
- State abdicating its responsibility to police:- Salwa Judum was seen as an 'off balance sheet' police force, with arms loaned to them, and money given as 'stipend'. The State did not have to contend with tricky questions on human rights violations etc. The Court objected to the State relinquishing its monopoly on violence
- Unfairness to tribals:- While expected to do similar duties, under like disciplinary codes and exposed to greater risks, the SPOs just got a 'stipend' and a 'temporary appointment'. No special counter insurgency training was given to them, thus causing risks to both themselves and society. It is therefore unfair under Article 14. Contrast this to the Greyhound force in Andhra Pradesh of simillar composition/objectives, but with a critical difference, that Greyhound staff was part of the AP police, and given superior training/status. This did not happen in Salwa Judum, reading to much higher death rates of 6%, compared to 1%(average) for Central & State forces.
- Questionable motivation:- Both army and police recruitment tests apply psychological screens to weed out vigilantist/paranoid personnel, or those who cannot act coolly and dispassionately. This may lead to field mistakes/massacres, but also far graver consequences. Local enmities, normal social conflict, and even assertion of individuality by others against over-bearing attitude of
such SPOs, could be cause to brand persons unrelated to Maoist activities as Maoists, or Maoist sympathizers. - Post termination consequences:- A SPO could be terminated for far lesser cause and without appeal, than a regular police constable. His erstwhile opponents(Naxals) would target him both for his past actions, and then for his special knowledge on informers, operations etc. In that scenario, the sacked SPO would refuse to surrender arms and may pose a risk to society. And when India does not have a witness protection scheme or a way to protect high risk targets(except jail), his concern would be valid. Given that 1200+(out of 3000-6500 SPOs) were sacked since inception, this problem is not a small one.
Saturday, July 2, 2011
RBI mandates banks to ensure 'reasonable property prices'-how to implement?
Care should also be taken to see that prices charged from the ultimate beneficiaries do not include any speculative element, that is, prices should be based only on the documented price of land, the actual cost of construction and a reasonable profit...
Has anyone even thought about how will the banks enforce this? For a sector without a price regulator, with no accepted costing standards and with so much opaqueness, who will make this work. Let us see each of these 'price elements' which the RBI desires.
- Documented price of land:- Land transactions involve substantial amount of black money. But accepting the principle that Govt should punish black market deals, this is fine-punishing the builder for undervaluing the land procurement cost.
- Actual Cost of Construction:- What about overheads, interests, construction delays(avoidable costs) etc? We do have accounting standards for all of them, but they need to be audited, on a project basis, to be of any use
- Reasonable profit:- Who determines this? Market(via P/E/ROE/markup) or Govt(price cap etc). This determination is an open invitation to rent seeking.
Sunday, June 26, 2011
Why girls have it good in top Bschools
Maybe, all the above can the be justified on other grounds such as ; males themselves give attention, need to encourage women in managerial positions, Indian socio economic position etc. And by no means am I implying that they are less 'competent' in any sense of the word. It is only that 'ceteris paribus'(in terms of measurable parameters like skills, qualifications, impact), women do get that extra edge.
Thursday, June 16, 2011
Professionals/Bankers limit responsibility instead of enlarging it.
Recently in India, independent directors and auditors have been jailed; practicing accountants/company secretaries have been pulled up for casually certifying obviously incorrect company filings. But the professional response to this has been to clamor for increased legal protection by shifting the blame on full time executives. The argument runs that only the full time executives know the in-and-out of the company, so only they should be penalized in legal disputes. But then, what does the company pay audit committee sitting fees, audit fees, certification fees etc for? If one cannot discharge its duty properly, they should resign from the engagement, but if they choose to continue then they should bear the cross.
Statutory/Regulatory amendments has handed over plenty of work to professionals/bankers like
- CAs have benefited from the mandatory internal audit requirement imposed on firms, and also the increasing number of statutory pre certifications mandated from CAs/auditors.
- CSs have gained work due to the compliance certificate requirement, yet one does not see any substantial improvement in corporate reporting practices
- From 2011-12, the Management accountancy profession will boom in India thanks to the voluntary cost audit.
- Banks gain business due to mandatory appointment of investment banks for certain capital issues exceeding defined size, need to appoint independent M&A advisor etc.
Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Commerce for the uninformed is MORE profitable than commerce for the informed
- Insurance as investment(endowment insurance instead of term insurance+PPF)
- ULIPs instead of index fund
- Unnecessary addons/floaters with their existing products/policies
- Credit card personal loans instead of cheaper secured loans.
For most private banks, the notion of financial literacy means educating the customer enough to understand the benefits of purchasing their products. Banks like ICICI have now funded credit counseling centres like Disha, but on the general education front, the RBI is fighting a lone battle. And no wonder, why would a bank educate a customer that its most profitable products(endowment insurance, structured products, ULIPs etc) are probably not in his best interest. The way forward seems to have a 'fit and proper' test for customer acceptance, but this is a Herculean task in any economy, let alone India.
Saturday, May 28, 2011
Indian and USA politics-more simillar than different?
- Top politicians's eligibility questioned:- The 'birther' issue in the USA(arguing that Obama is NOT a natural born USA citizen and so ineligible for President's office) resembles the debate in India about Sonia Gandhi's Indian citizenship, which peaked in May-04 when she could have become Prime Minister, but died down after that. Still, peruse any online political forum and this issue hits.
- Figurehead leaders:-The USA President's success story in 2009 apart, 2010 onwards has been a logjam in terms of laws, reforms, election results etc. Similar for our Indian Prime Minister who got a nominated backdoor entry into Parliament, and is not perceived as having influence. This was apparent in the recent telecom 2G scam, when corrupt coalition ministers were not sacked in the interest of keeping together the coalition
- Crony Capitalism:- This has been a well honored tradition in the USA with Congressmen openly lobbying for projects for their own constituencies and encouraging unnecessary ''pork barreled' spending. They also derive personal benefits from lobbyists and the companies they represent. While the Indian side was exposed in the Radia tapes(of a lobbyist chatting with her clients of replacing ministers, altering policies etc), it has died down.
- Faith driven politics in large areas:-In the Bible Belt of the USA, aspiring candidates must steer clear of the 3 landmines(Guns, God, Gays) if they desire election. Similarly, in Indian states like Kerala, North East(Christian Church advisory), Western UP, Bihar(where mullah support helps) and in UP/Maharashtra/Punjab(where certain religious sects dominate); faith issues are critical for candidates seeking election
- Revolving door between public/private sector:- Many Indian politicians own flourishing business empires(Navin Jindal-Steel; Reddy brothers-Steel; Vijay Mallaya-alcohol etc), and can at times as ministers shape the policies to suit them. This allows an exit option when the political fortunes change. In the USA, this happens in terms of cushy jobs post electoral defeats/return to private legal practice(true for India too).
- Affirmative action angst:- This had not impaired Obama's campaign that much, but it is still used by rabble rouses to whip up fear among voters(WASPs) of being displaced. In India, post the extension of reservations(from 22.5% since independence to 49.5% in 2004-further action not taken only because the top legal court in India has capped it at 50%), the Congress did lose many 'upper caste' votes.
Saturday, May 7, 2011
Will Singapore become another Dubai?
- Natural resources:- Both do not have significant natural resources(Dubai does NOT have oil, while Singapore needs to import most of its stuff from ASEAN countries/Australia/China). This makes them sensitive to global inflationary trends.
- Politics:- Though Dubai is an autocratic state(Al Makhthum), Singapore is on the way there given that since independence, a single political party(PAP) has hogged 90%+ seats in Parliament. Though the 2011 elections( results were declared today) were the most contested in history with opposition standing in 82/87 seats, they managed to win just 6 seats(compared to 1 in the earlier 2006 elections). While this is a big step forward for the opposition-them winning a GRC(5 MP constituency) and unseating the foreign minister, the future does not augur well for dissent. To be fair though, the reason they have maintained power all this will is also because of the efficient functioning-with just 15% peak tax(till recently), Singapore public services are one of the most efficient globally.
- Restrictions on citizenship/land ownership: Expats get citizenship with difficulty, and are rarely permitted to buy landed properties. The Govt owns all the land allowing just 99year leases. I agree that this is not unique to Singapore/Dubai, but then these restrictions do not encourage expats to invest in Singapore.
- Heavy dependence on expats: As a perusal of the election manifestos shows, Singaporeans are feeling that expats are displacing them from their rightful place in the $100K/yr+ jobs in banking/finance. This is due to many factors(too long to list here) but then it does hit the educated youth hard when they find they are not getting the top jobs in the finance space. Even in other sectors, construction/healthcare etc, the lower rung jobs are also being taken away by Malaysians/Indians/Chinese etc. And now, citizens are asking whether this is necessary.
- Going away from core competencies:-Both Dubai and Singapore leveraged their maritime location well to build industries around shipping like ports, refineries, logistics etc, then inviting companies to set up their regional hubs their(Middle East/North Africa hubs from Dubai; South East Asia hub from Singapore). But now, both cities are focusing more on paper wealth created by the banking/finance/services space, and this has induced more volatility.
- Entitlement mentality:-As the ruling PAP pointed out often, Singaporeans are getting used to being coddled and expect the Govt to take care of them. This factor is already creating some unrest in Dubai, and may do so in Singapore too later.
Wednesday, May 4, 2011
Why India's jugaad still trumps technology elsewhere
- India's heterogeneity and size make systems design difficult:One may long for the luxury of Singapore MRT, London Metro, Tokyo trains etc but the fact remains that in a small high income place, one can ensure good connectivity(as the AC bus connectivity in Mumbai/Bangalore attest to), but those breakdown under population overload too, as the recent MRT expansion in Singapore is happening to adjust to the influx of foreign workers
- There is just copying/improvising for lack of resources no real invention:- Correct, but this misses the point that Indian innovation is just focussed in different field. As the high number of Indian structurers, traders, accountants and tax experts go, Indians can find loopholes in most things, because of their practice of navigating India's labyrinth like and illogical tax system. Also, building companies like Reliance, Educomp is not a joke-and those companies are built around quantum jumps while using what we have.
- More useful for the contemporary world:- When the famed high rollers of the corporate world(investment banks) mention cost cutting prominently in their annual reports/plans, you know that the world HAS changed. And in this, those used to improvising their own tools/methods in resource crunched environments would be likelier to succeed.
- Technology is about how to USE a tool not really about making one:-In the field of finding new applications for existing tools, I believe Indians are up there with the rest.
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Why 'double taxation' of corporates is justified
Except a partnership firm/individual entity/LLP, all other business forms ringfence the other assets of their investors. In case of insolvency/lawsuits etc, if the business cannot pay its liabilities, shareholders will not be called upon to pay its dues(unless of course they have personally guaranteed the obligations or unless law casts obligations on them like in India where private company directors are liable for unpaid tax dues under certain circumstances). If an entity desires a legal form allowing ring fencing, it should pay its social dues for this service('taxation'). We could of course have an explicit bankruptcy levy on all companies to pay this cost, in lieu of tax. But something tells me that would not go down well either. So we are stuck with this system, which is equitable albeit seemingly logically unsound.
No payment for failure-an absurd proposition
But from the public disclosures(in Pillar III), what I gather about the implementation is that
- Stringent performance targets will be set covering profit, risk, people etc. These targets will be mostly in number of shares/options.
- The performance bonus will be adjusted for 'risk'(any adjustment to be DOWNwards only)
- Even after that, the vesting of the options/shares will be subject to clawback, deferral and overall group criteria in terms of total shareholder return, economic profit etc.
- And finally, a significant number of people will be awarded Zero bonuses.
- Immediate cash component will be capped at 10%(viz $1MM-for RBS it is 2000GBP!!!!)
- The rest will be paid out in terms of restricted shares-subject to market price risk and insolvency risk
- The bonus can be clawed back for N number of reasons-including quitting the organization etc
Saturday, March 26, 2011
Why reducing IIM fee subsidy actually harmed the whole MBA student body
For good or bad, most other colleges take cues from the IIMs. Whether it be faculty appointment, case method, admissions(removing GD), curriculum etc, IIMs are the trend setters for most colleges(I say most because a few like IIPM dare to think beyond the IIMs). Even in fee structure, this had shown. Colleges like NMIMS, XLRI, SP Jain etc had benchmarked themselves(and thereby their fees with IIMs). No college could seriously justify keeping a fee structure above IIMs. But with the IIM fee structure(A, B, C) ranging from Rs 13Lakh-Rs 15Lakh(around $30,000-$35000 at $1=INR 45), even lower rung private colleges have been emboldened to keep their fees around 1/2/ 1/3rd of IIM fees, without any improvement in infrastructure/economic rationale for the same. This had hurt the students because placements at those colleges have not improved commensurate with the fees. And for that reason alone, subsidizing IIM students(and thereby keeping IIM fees low) would have helped students at other colleges,as those colleges could not have hiked their fees then.
Please note that I consider the value of my IIM-A education to be much above the fees I have paid-I take no issue with that. But in the larger interest, changing the fee structure to maybe having a deferred fee component, may help students of other colleges.
Friday, March 25, 2011
How Indian newspapers typically fail the Google triple test for objectivity
- We will do our best to provide the most relevant and useful search results possible, independent of financial incentives. Our search results will be objective and we will not accept payment for their inclusion or ranking.
- We will do our best to provide the most relevant and useful advertising. Ads should not be an annoying interruption. If any element on a search result page is influenced by payment to us, we will make this fact clear to our users.
- We will never stop working to improve our user experience, our search technology, and other areas of information organization.
- Content censorship does happen depending on the target company. A sign of this is that the main investigative campaigns have originated outside newspapers like from Tehelka, OPEN magazine, RTI applications etc. To their credit, newspapers have carried the items prominently post facto, but this may merely be due to competitive pressures
- Advertorials/Special Editorial features etc(HT Media's business daily Mint being a notable exception) carried in the same font/prominence often violates this principle
- Indian papers score well on this front. The TOI group for instance has launched focused newspapers like Crest, Spirituality centered paper etc while HT Media has launched Brunch/Me as separate magazines, each for their particular niche. But has this come with dumbing down news? Only time can tell.
Saturday, March 19, 2011
Has NSE become like Big Bazaar-not creating customer value?
- Peer Comps(default + pick and choose)
- Retrieve annual reports and exchange filings
- Visualize certain indicators graphically(presently only default options).
Similarly, the Kishore Biyani venture Big Bazaar's USP was 'Isse sasta aur accha aur kahin nahin' translating to 'You won't get it cheaper and better elsewhere'. As some one who has shopped in multiple cities(Mumbai, Delhi, Ahmedabad, Pune) over an extended time period, I note that the value proposition has steadily eroded. Groceries, fruits and consumables have become costlier. Branded items are sold at merely 5% discount and they give pride of precedence to their store brands. While this is an international trend(retailers preferring store brands for higher margins), Big Bazaar should simply drop its tag line, which is now more appropriate to a Star Bazaar or a D Mart.
Friday, March 4, 2011
Are we readers to blame for declining editorial standards in newspapers?
In her book, 'The Indian Media Business', the noted journalist Vanita Kohli-Khandekar(Pg 8) estimates the marginal cost of producing a newspaper to be Rs 15-20. But no newspaper sells for over Rs 1-5(the higher end is more for regional media than for English language papers). And then, the newsvendor may get a commission upto 50%. So the advertisers are the ones who largely fund the newspapers. And given that the Indian reader spends little on serious content(magazines like Money Life, Tehelka are struggling to get subscribers), the publishers have little option than to depend on advertisers. So what other options do these papers have to raise money?
- Transferring content online:- Paywalls have not caught on yet(except with Business Standard) but advertisers may support this online content
- Offering archives to subscribers:-This strategy, followed largely by print magazines, may work for newspapers if readers need to search a particular paper..
- Selling subscriber Data(of direct subscribers):- Papers like TOI, HT, Mint, Business Standard offer cut rate subscriptions(B2C) where they get customer data. This may help them push for better advertising rates and also insurance companies/others may like this data for mail promotions. But regulators may stop this route.
Bottomline:- Vote with your wallet by subscribing to independent quality media. Else, we do forfeit the right to comment on how the content standards are declining
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Blaming complex rules-is it shooting the messenger?
- Rules aim to govern reality: Governments do not wake up and decide to adopt rules for fun. They do so to address a malaise/issue in society. For instance, laws are mainly to resolve disputes and accounting rules aim to prevent window dressing. Rules are often 'locking the stable after the horse has bolter' type of response. For example, the famed US SOX Act was passed after scams like Enron, Tyco broke out. It takes time to make changes and by then things do get obsolete
- If unregulated, capitalists go haywire:-When we design the perfect economic system and incentive systems to correct market failures, then we do not need so many 'rules'. But till this Utopian vision emerges, we need rules to protect(or atleast try to protect) society from business
- It merely reflects reality:- For instance, accounting of financial instruments is blamed for the crisis(!) but this could well be due to the complexity of the underlying instruments themselves
Friday, January 7, 2011
Are professional institutes(ICAI/ICSI/ICWAI) really self regulating?
The case for professional self regulation has been that
- only a professional can appreciate and critique the work of another('peer review' also based on this)
- Professionals work in the public interest and so can be trusted to self regulate themselves.
As an aspiring member of all 3 institutes, it saddens me to note that the MCA had to take such a severe step. Even a layperson(let alone an informed member) would expect speedier investigation by the institutes( into professional misconduct resulting in arrest) than by the investigating agencies. Hopefully, the MCA letter will restore some public confidence into efficacy of 'self regulation'
Monday, December 20, 2010
Social sciences are NOT pseudo sciences.
As aptly mentioned in Robert Murphy'sbook "Lessons for the Young Economist"
Most professionals in the social sciences think that the same method the “scientific method”—should be used in their fields as well . However, the problem is that, quite literally, the objects of their study have minds of their own . It has proved fiendishly difficult to come up with a set of concise laws that accurately predict the behavior of people in various circumstances . In the social sciences, especially economics, things are so much more complicated that in many cases it is simply impossible to perform a truly controlled experimentIn Plain English, that means that things depend on the context, research is a GUIDE to action
and not the recipe in itself
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Is Management only like cooking?
- Recipes are taught not when to use them:-Cooks learn recipes and decide whether to use them. Similarly, managers learn theories and decide where to use them
- Contextual variations are must:-Like how a cook varies his recipe according to the guest's tastes, the manager has his own 'seasoning'/'modification' to the routine theory
- Success breeds a new recipe:-Super star cooks bring out their own recipe books/open culinary schools/restaurants.Similarly, managers become lecturers, speakers, writers to propagate the theory they feel brought them to the top
- Success at the top is mainly due to OTHER factors:-A good cook rises as he can master the art of cooking. But to remain at the top, he builds a good team, manages finances of his own joint etc. The same I think applies to managers.
business than its would-be scientists suggest, more closely allied to cooking than any other human activity. Like cooking, it rests On a degree of Organization and on adequate resources. But just as no two chefs run their kitchens the same way, so no two managements are the same, even if they all went to the same business (or cooking) school. You can teach the rudiments of cooking, as of management, but you cannot make a great cook or a great manager.
In both activities, you ignore fundamentals at grave risk —but sometimes succeed. In both, science can be extremely useful but is no substitute for the art itself. In both, inspired amateurs can outdo professionals. In both, perfection is rarely achieved, and failure is more common than the customers realize. In both, practitioners don't need recipes that detail timing down to the last second, ingredients to the last fraction of an ounce, and procedures down to the Just flick of the wrist; they need reliable maxims, instructive anecdotes, and no dogmatism
Sunday, July 4, 2010
Why are our pillars of Indian democracy rotten?
Every election, the campaign spending only goes along with the proportion of those with criminaL cases filed against them. I agree that politically motivated cases would make up a fair proportion of that,. But even excluding that, what accounts for the rags to riches story of our politicans? Unlike entreprenuers, no one questions our netas for an account of their riches; or even how does their wealth double/triple after a term in power.
The Constitution hoped that the Legislature would keep a check on the Executive with the Judiciary overseeing both. The media was bestowed freedom of speech to act as a moral guardian. 60 years after independence, what is the scene?
Coalition Governments rule with diminished majorities thus being held ransom to the coalition partners. The Congress forced a minister to resign over conflict of interest in the IPL; yet a coalition minister with multi billion dollar scams in his ministry was allowed to continue after his party boss said he's being persecuted as he is a "Scheduled caste". The Opposition prefers to call bandhs and hold press conferences rather than do the boring work of turning up in Parliament and questioning the Government.
The Executive and Judiciary are largely good but are bogged down with excess work, crumbling infrastructure and political interference. The Media is more concerned with "Consumer Connect initiatives","Response Connect Initiatives", "Ad sense" to deceive the reader that the ads he's reading is news. Exceptions are "Hindu", "Mint","Hindustan Times" but their market share is minuscle on a pan India basis.
These are the problems but what are the solutions? Personal integrity in all walks of life is the way forward. We cannot change the system without changing ourselves first.
Monday, June 7, 2010
The similarity between Marketing and Religon
- The truth is hidden from view- for example latent brands.
- Your reward lies in the hereafter- for example insurance for your family!!, charity!!
- True happiness in only available to the initiated, the "insiders."- for example, premium and exclusive offers for discerning customers!!
- Everyday reality is a sham, a waste of time, an illusion- for example an advt asking you to think beyond your shackles of this world
- We are all defective, our personal experiences have no legitimacy without the validation of priests.- for example sponsors, expert opinion, using Sachin/ Sharukh in ads
What is in a name?Ask Indian Cos?
But, our Indian companies seem to believe in this strongly. Where else would you see a sugar company have the name of an engineering company- for example Triveni Engineering? Or a financial services company have the name "Vakrangee Software"?
I could go on and on, but I think the point is clear. Such names are quite misleading to any lay person. Any person who goes on the basis of a hot stock tip will not know the truth. SEBI should wake up and delist such companies- or at least have them, change their names to reflect their substance
Unity is Strength-really?
The power behind these strikes is the union(s) which every now and then need to flex their muscles. After all, their importance is realised then. The unions which were set up for a noble cause of 'promoting worker's unity and cordial employer-employee relationships' have only partly achieved their goal. They have ensured pay-but not performance. Bonus-but not dedication.
Gandhi and other proponents of the unions would surely be turning in their grave if they saw the present state of affairs- where people like Datta Samant used the workers as a cats paw tp achieve their political ends.
In Kerala, even debt collectors and private sector bank employees- have formed their own unions. Closer home, we have the Central Railway SC/ST employeed union!. I can understand organisation based unions but caste based unions!. Anyway, this is why the industries choose to produce/ manufacture in Baddi and Vapi where contract labour relieves their employee headache. Here of course, the loser is the contact labourer who gets underpaid- but then, why would the Mumbai unions care?
Its a dog's life
If it is born to a pet, it is gifted away or sold to happy recipent families. If it is born on the streets, then also it lives. Some members of our nation love to feed our stray canine friends daily- even if there are more pressing matters elsewhere. Many South Mumbai residents consider it a badge of pride to be an 'animal lover', and indulge in armchair criticizm of the dog control measures. They mind paying parking, suffering load shedding and consider themselves above the rest of us, but have no hesitation to condemn their suburban Mumbaikars to a dog's life of barking noise, bite, droppings and fear. Dogs nowadays get moved down less often then people sleeping on the pavements. So, Man's best friend does have it good nowadays.
Do these loaded words deceive YOU?
We read words like "worker", " backward" " small" " justice" " freedom" " poor" all twisted out of context. Who would imagine for example that for BPL purposes, poverty is about Rs 25000/ year, but for creamy layer of OBC reservation- it is Rs 2,50,000/ year.
Similarly, people who have never done a day's honest labour in their lives- like social workers and politicians- claim to represent the working class. My question is- Who is a worker? A daily wage person or an IIT/IIM salaried employee?
Similarly, " social justice" is often used to justify reservations. This misses out the point that not only those who were oppressed by caste system ( like SC's) get reservations, but also those who did not suffer that stigma do so- like ST's/ OBC's etc.
Also, to justify public display of affection/ porn like movies, people say that freedom is must. Yes, "freedom" is OK, as long as it does not affect freedom of other people to have uncontaminated minds.
As far as " small goes'" , the local kiranawala opposes Wal- Mart as he says that they will gobble him up. But so what? These small shop keepers evade income tax, and mostly do not pass on the service tax/ VAT they collect from customers. That is unjust enrichment, which perpetuates the poor-rich divide. Also, the income of these "small" vendors is inflation prone- unlike salaried income.
So, to allow atleast an informed debate on these issues- let us clarify the meaning of words used in a certain context. It would throw up some surprises.
What people say- and what they really mean.
Consultant- Agent -Real estate consultant
unemployed- Freelance consultant
Backward- In namsake- Backward caste
Public interest -My interest- File notings in RTI not disclosed due to public interest
national benefit- Helps votebank- Slum rehabilitation helps nation
Social Justice -Injustice otherwise- Reservations are for social justice
Public servant -who takes tips -Ministers are public servants
Restructuring -Sack people -Corporate restructuring
Rationalisation- Reduce -Rationalisation of taxes. staff
Service charges- Bribes/ Loot- Service charges in hotel bills
Revision -Hike- Revision of tariffs
People -Me -Walmart's entry/ cheap imports affects people Premium Costly Premium quality
Empowerment -for the camera- Companies want to empower their employees
detention: arrest
adult entertainment: porn
mature: old
senior: old
correction: Abroad, this means the jails Dept!
dental cream: Means paste
Quiz: In foreign text books, means question bank
assessment: Exam
So, you feel India's No.1 job is of an IIT/IIM grad? Read this Orkut expose!!
Monthly Salary
Expense for Constitution per month
Office expenditure per month
Traveling concession (Rs. 8 per km)
Daily DA TA during parliament meets
Charge for 1 class (A/C) in train
Charge for Business Class in flights
Rent for MP hostel at Delhi
Electricity costs at home
Local phone call charge
TOTAL expense for a MP per year
TOTAL expense for 5 years
For 534 MPs, the expense for 5 years : 8,54,40,00,000 (nearly 855 cores)
And they are elected by THE PEOPLE OF INDIA, by the largest democratic . process in the world, not intruded into the parliament on their own or by any qualification. This is how all our tax money is been swallowed and price hike on our regular commodities......